Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.002390 0.002533 0.002685 0.002859 0.003057 0.003274 0.003533
2025-03-16 0.002222 0.002425 0.002653 0.002934 0.003276 0.003686 0.004227
2025-03-23 0.002093 0.002333 0.002616 0.002982 0.003455 0.004068 0.004961
2025-03-30 0.001961 0.002219 0.002532 0.002951 0.003520 0.004305 0.005553
2025-04-06 0.001834 0.002096 0.002421 0.002868 0.003497 0.004407 0.005964
2025-04-13 0.001746 0.002014 0.002353 0.002832 0.003528 0.004585 0.006539
2025-04-20 0.001625 0.001882 0.002209 0.002676 0.003367 0.004438 0.006493
2025-04-27 0.001575 0.001837 0.002178 0.002674 0.003429 0.004655 0.007204
2025-05-04 0.001555 0.001831 0.002195 0.002740 0.003604 0.005092 0.008563
2025-05-11 0.001514 0.001794 0.002168 0.002738 0.003666 0.005340 0.009622
2025-05-18 0.001502 0.001795 0.002194 0.002817 0.003873 0.005911 0.011994
2025-05-25 0.001464 0.001758 0.002163 0.002804 0.003917 0.006158 0.013610
2025-06-01 0.001412 0.001702 0.002103 0.002747 0.003884 0.006253 0.014886
2025-06-08 0.001395 0.001693 0.002112 0.002802 0.004067 0.006906 0.019969
2025-06-15 0.001374 0.001678 0.002112 0.002840 0.004226 0.007569 0.027957
2025-06-22 0.001337 0.001639 0.002073 0.002810 0.004242 0.007855 0.035112
2025-06-29 0.001291 0.001585 0.002009 0.002734 0.004153 0.007807 0.038570
2025-07-06 0.001259 0.001550 0.001972 0.002700 0.004152 0.008031 0.049598
2025-07-13 0.001202 0.001478 0.001876 0.002557 0.003903 0.007414 0.039540
2025-07-20 0.001182 0.001457 0.001859 0.002555 0.003958 0.007801 0.057433
2025-07-27 0.001177 0.001460 0.001877 0.002616 0.004162 0.008795 0.204252
2025-08-03 0.001159 0.001441 0.001862 0.002614 0.004222 0.009305 NaN
2025-08-10 0.001157 0.001448 0.001886 0.002687 0.004471 0.010785 NaN